Monday, May 5, 2014

Flooding and Landslides in Afghanistan


Flooding & Landslides in Afghanistan:

Is this act of God, and can it be prevented in future by adapting to climate change? (v 1.0)

Yesterday (2nd of May,2014) a sad apparently natural tragedy happened in Badakhshan province of Afghanistan, initial reports suggesting that some 2,000 may have been buried under mud after a huge landslide.

However as Kabul is busy with elections, the issue of people buried under mud is not attracting much attention from the ruling government or from the presidential candidates. They are busy in “more important” things such as making alliances for a run-off election.


NATO and ISAF (International Security Assistant Force) this morning in their official statement said that they are aware of the situation in Badakhshan but are waiting for permission from the Afghan government to assist people in the area. Is if they have asked permission for bombing Afghan villages, running their private dentition centers or detaining innocent Afghans.

The educated group (manipulated group would be more appropriate word) of Afghan population who has access to internet and of course express themselves on Facebook and other social media are coming up with profile messages such as ‘we are with you Badkhshan’. It beyond my understanding what actually this means, just sitting like a lazy bulldog behind their laptops/iphone and writing ‘we are with you’ to a group who do not have access to electricity and access to internet. So the question is, to whom you they talking? Are they making fools of themselves or is it the hypocritic qualities that they inherited from their elders over the last 30 years.

The interesting part of this accident will be the stories that will come out after a few weeks. We have a tendency to justify any act. Since this act (the landslide) would be brought under the category of ‘Natural Disasters’. And Afghans, being inspired-Muslims would surely justify this as an act of God as well. I will not be surprised to hear stories such as, these two villages were involved in drug business and using drugs therefore God demolished them and many other similar stories. The problem with such stories is that it will provide an excuse for the responsible authorities not to act for prevention of such tragedies occurring in the future.

In order to prevent or mitigate such catastrophes in future we have to agree on that holding God accountable for such acts is not going to lead us to any practical solutions. With current technology and knowledge we more or less know about the underlying processes happening before any similar incident. Many developed countries such as Switzerland, Norway etc which have more or less similar terrain to Badakhshan and to the rest of mountainous Afghanistan, have managed to avoid or mitigate such tragedies occurring. They have successfully applied methods for slope stabilisation, mapped landslide vulnerability, and integrated disaster management policies in their development planning, Afghanistan could learn some lesson from them and exchange experiences.


Extreme events observed in Afghanistan such as the flooding in Faryab, Badghis province, which took the lives of more than 150 people, and then just one week later this sad event of the landslide in Badakhshan, are becoming more common place. With climatic variability and in the absence of any climate change adaptation strategy, mountainous topography, ever faster melting glaciers, unplanned housing, rapid land-use changes and lack of water management infrastructure, such events of extreme flooding, landslides etc, and human and animals causalities caused by it should not surprise us.

The government should act quickly rather than wait, and take a pro-active approach towards human induced ‘natural disasters’ scrapping the tendency for reactive actions. The Afghanistan National Disaster Management Authorities (http://www.andma.gov.af/) should work as a cross-cutting sector with better cooperation with other sectors rather than working as an independent body.

And finally a request on behalf of poor Afghans, to whom Afghanistan has given nothing but only troubles, that the so called ‘high officials’ including the current presidential candidates should leave their comfort zones for a while and visit those people in trouble. Not only for taking pictures with a smile on their faces while standing on a mass grave, but should eat with them from their plates, drink from their glasses, and stay for a few nights in their cottages to get a real sense of their lives. Otherwise they should stop selling this nonsense of ‘nation representatives’.

Masoom,
Thoughts of writing this piece came after reading the sad news (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-27265516 )of landslide that destroyed two villages in Badakhshan and killed more than 2,000 people.